Why there will be no QB controversy when Yates returns
Saturday, after the BC game, I was so mad that I was convinced that Davis had taken the ball out of Sexton's hands at the end of regulation because he did not trust his backup QB to protect the ball. So I promised a blog post this week about all the stats that I could find that proved Davis was avoiding trusting the offense to Sexton. I though if I looked at the box scores I would find that Draughn was getting more and more yards because Davis was becoming more and more conservative in his play calling.
But the week has been crazy busy, and I've had time to blow off steam (although there has not been a night this week that I did not lay in bed asking myself why we lost--I know... I'm sick. I have a problem.) before looking at the stats. And upon further review, the stats just don't back me up.
In the 3 games where Yates played, just under 38% of our offensive plays were passing calls, while in Sexton's 4 games, we've called passes in about 48% of our offensive plays. Granted, While Yates played, we led as much as two thirds of the time and we could afford to run it, while Sexton has played from behind at least half of the time. But still, you can't blame Davis for being afraid of Sexton's passing... except against UVA, where he has thrown 4 interceptions in two games against the 3-4 defense.
Now I HATED the call to run a soft defense at the end of the game Saturday. Suppose you sent another guy at the QB and you left yourself open to a deep pass or another big scoring play because your secondary is stretched. Whther that would have happened in debatable, but assuming it did, then the game is still tied, but we would have had far more time to get back into fieldgoal range. Instead, you not only give UVA a sure thing (if you want to argue that the soft D does not necessary garauntee an opposition TD, I just say that it has given our opponents a short-yardage, high-percentage shot at a TD 3 times this season--every time it has been employed), but you also allow them to run out the clock.
But what was really disappointing was the call to take a knee instead of going for the win with 47 seconds left in regulation. What could they have been thinking besides fear of turnovers?
So that brings me around to the reason there is no question that Yates will be the starting QB as soon as he is deemed healthy. Sexton has 3 interceptions to Yate's 1. Sexton should probably have double the number of interceptions if the defenders had held onto some more likely catches. So while 3 interceptions in 4 games is much improved over UNC's QB position in recent years, as long as Sexton continues to make questionable throws, I think we'll see more hesitations in tight situations, and we'll see Yates back in the huddle, maybe as soon as the GaTech game.
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